Richard Black 1997:

The best models we have predict a range of effects on climate as the Earth warms up. The biggest global effect will be a rise in sea level – warmer water simply takes up more room, and some of the world’s ice will melt.
The seas could rise by up to a metre in 30 or 40 years’ time. That might not sound much but it could lead to whole nations disappearing beneath the waves.

It’s 2012 and we’re half way there. I guess those “best models” must have indicated that the next 15 years are the really bad ones.

UPDATE 5.15PM. He’s still banging on about it. This tweet appeared yesterday: That link takes you here:

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change predicts a sea-level rise of up to 59 centimetres over the next century, a level that would inundate most of the Maldives’ inhabited atolls. Low-lying Pacific island nations, such as Kirabati and Tuvalu, would also face being flooded.

Yeah, whatever. “Wolf!”

As Tim Blair points out, the Maldives has more pressing concerns. And boy does it know how to play gullible fools such as Richard Black – when the president isn’t blubbing about climate refugees he’s breaking ground for new airport terminals.

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  1. Natsman says:

    Bummer.  That sea level just will NOT play ball with these lunatics, will it?  I expect that there’s lots of sea, hiding with the missing heat in the depths somewhere, just waiting to rise explosively to the surface when we’re not looking, and Bingo!  the planet will be much warmer, and the sa levels higher.  Can’t wait.  In the meantime, CO2 goes about its usual innocuous business, and we are paying for it to go away.  I think we’ll be needing it soon, don’t you?

    Is Salford at risk form premature inundation, I wonder?


    • Asuka Langley Soryu says:

      On my morning run the other day, I was running through the woods and I got a sort of an eerie feeling. Like something was lurking in there in the dark. I’m not sure, but I wouldn’t be surprised if it was sea. It’s out there, and when it rises, we’ll all be kippered.

      Incidentally, which nations are alleged to be at risk of disappearing by rising sea levels? Are there any significant ones, or are they just small bitch countries that nobody’ll miss?


  2. My Site (click to edit) says:

    Perhaps the government of the Maldives are constructing 11 new airports so they can evacuate all the climate refugees as quickly as possible!  
    Strange that it appears on there tourism site though?


  3. The Beebinator says:

    Dick Black is sort of like a New Labour Spin Doctor from the Tony Bliar era, he keeps re-releasing the same propaganda over and over again

    Keep up the good work Dick, we’re counting on you



    • john in cheshire says:

      Is Mr Black a retard? Does anyone have access to his medical files? He doesn’t sound normal to me. A quick google hasn’t unearthed anything about him personally. Is he educated to any recognised level? How did he come to be employed by the bbc?


    • Dogstar060763 says:

      “…he keeps re-releasing the same propaganda over and over again…”  
      Yes, it’s like that bit in 1984 where Winston Smith is told repeatedly by the Ministry of Truth that 2+2=5. The point being that as far as organisations like the BBC are concerned it’s been growing increasingly clear that there is only one preferred version of the ‘Truth’ and unless or until we, the proles, buy into and accept that version we will have to endure having it repeated to us endlessly.


  4. RGH says:

    The head of the Paleogeophysics and Geodynamics department at Stockholm University in Sweden is Dr. Nils-Axel Mörner. He’s also been the Chairman of INQUA Commission on Sea Level Changes and Coastal Evolution. He’s also led the famed Maldives Sea Level Project. Pretty impressive credentials; perhaps some of the world’s best when it comes to sea levels and climate. No wonder then that Dr. Mörner has been studying the sea level and its effects on coastal areas for over 35 years.

    Guess what he has discovered?

    * From 1850 to 1930-40 the sea level was rising, and the rate of rise was 1.1 millimeter per year.

    * The sea levels stopped rising in 1940 until 1970.

    * Since 1970 there has been no obvious trend in either direction; up or down.

    He has also had a colossal row with President Nasheed..
    Dr. Nils-Axel Mörner has been the expert reviewer for the IPCC Report both in 2000 and 2006 but not 2009 Dr. Mörner said, “I have been the expert reviewer for the IPCC, both in 2000 and last year. The first time I read it, I was exceptionally surprised. First of all, it had 22 authors, but none of them— none—were sea-level specialists.”

    Dr. Nils-Axel Mörner says there are all sorts of problems with the methodology in the IPCC report and repeats “rising levels from 1850 to 1940” and since 1970 absolutely no trend. Sea levels are stable!

    That is the current state of play. Peer reviewed.


  5. Faroud Smith says:

    If ever a reporter was out of his depth, it is Mr Black.  His bad luck was to jump on the rising wave of leftie-driven alarmism without adequate surfing skills to avoid making a fool of himself.  He has done his duty by the BBC bosses, but oh how he has amused us at the same time!  And, I would say, damaged ‘the cause’ by his pantomime-level pieces.


  6. Jeremy Clarke says:

    ‘THE ball-wrenching tediousness of climate change pundits is worse than previously thought, it has been claimed.

    ‘Experts believe the Intergovernmental Panel on Tiresome Climate Change Articles has drastically underestimated the rate at which people were becoming angrily bored by all this.

    ‘Professor Henry Brubaker, of the Institute for Studies, said: “Previous computer models suggested someone like Richard Black would only make you want to chew your own elbows off or stick your bum in a bucket of bees.

    ‘”But now all the data points towards Black and Black-fuelled activity forcing millions of people to leap from high buildings while battering themselves to death with a heavy frying pan all the way down, just to make sure.”‘

    (Please excuse the use of artistic licence)


  7. joseph sanderson says:

    I found this rather amusing article on the ScottishSceptic website, where Mr Black once more shows how silly he really is


  8. David Preiser (USA) says:

    “Climate refugees”? I bet Australia sees people trying to escape fundamentalist Islamic rule before it sees people fleeing the rising sea.


  9. david hanson says:

    I hope they are building these new airports on stilts then, otherwise surely it’s an admission that rising sea levels is all bollocks.


  10. John Horne Tooke says:

    This is an unbiased view on sea levels.,1518,774706,00.html

    This is how Black should be reporting. Because he is not leaves one to conclude that he is an activist and not a reporter.


  11. John Horne Tooke says:

    Why Australia? The Maldives are in the Indian Ocean. Why not “Maldives to India:prepare for climate refugees” Or is India and Sri Lanka also sinking?


    • RGH says:

      Nice rhetorical question.

      Probably because India might say come on in. Room for a few more in Calcutta.

      Perhaps an appeal to their Saudi co-religionists?

      Australia is perceived as receptive to the message. The tweet should have ended ‘Send the cash by Western Union’


    • Natsman says:

      No, India is still busy building Himalayas, millimetre by millimetre – it won’t sink.  Even now, the refugee camps for persons displaced by the alarming rise in sea levels are springing up in the hills around Shimla, and other places evacuated by the Raj…


  12. ChrisM says:

    He also says in the article that “Tropical diseases such as malaria will be able to migrate into more temperate zones and from lowland to the hills, as their insect carriers find more places where they can survive”.
    Funny that, people used to die of malaria on the North Kent Marshes and Romney Marsh during the little ice age, it also used to affect people in Siberia so it obviously has nothing to do with temperature.


    • John Horne Tooke says:

      Black does not consult experts, he relies instead on his Greenpeace friends.


    • RGH says:

      Malaria has been banished from Europe where it was endemic through changing land use and the drainage of wetlands. It used to plague Italy…the Pontine Marshes near Rome were a hot spot for malaria (Ialian word for bad air )before the mosquito vector was established, until the 1950’s.

      Unless the breeding habitats are allowed to reappear, the mosquito has nil chance.


      • RGH says:

        Of course if our Green friends succeed in restoring to their pristine condition all those wetlands, the mosquitos will be part and parcel of all that biodiversity.


  13. matthew rowe says:

    Every thing I need to know about our  dick is in that creepy picture he uses on his  ministry approved tw*tter spoil heap !


  14. John says:

    John in Cheshire askes:
    Is Mr Black a retard?  Yes absolutely.

    Does anyone have access to his medical files? Well yes, but they’re private

    He doesn’t sound normal to me. On this evidence clearly he isn’t

    A quick google hasn’t unearthed anything about him personally. Is he educated to any recognised level? How did he come to be employed by the bbc? Have you answered your own question here?


  15. Pounce says:

    Is this what people in the media refer to as ‘Black Ops’?


  16. Martin says:

    The only reason the water level rose was because fatty Prescott jumped in.


  17. david hanson says:

    And if Abbott joins him, we’re all doomed!


    • david hanson says:

      Thinking about it, if the two of them were together it would keep Jaws fed for months!


      • RGH says:

        Are sharks interbreeding to survive climate change?

        It just goes on and on. This narrative will go down in history as a remarkable illustration of a culture losing its collective marbles.

        The answer to the question is no.

        The researchers made no claim about climate change.

        Examples from the press running the narrative has included the incredible notions that earthquakes and tsunamis have some connection to climate change (the 2005 Boxing Day tsunami springs to mind).

        It has all become a parody of a parody.


  18. John Horne Tooke says:

    You are quite right RGH, the AGW theory is the only theory in the history of science that cannot be disproven. If it rains heavily, its climate change, if we get some dry weather, its climate change, if we get some snow, its climate change, if there are more hurricanes, its climate change, if there are fewer hurricanes, its climate change.

    This is not science it is modeling or GIGO.


  19. Natsman says:

    I would like it to be known that my current difficult divorce situation I attribute solely to climate change, that and the intrinsic madness of women (also attributed to climate change).