Dr Phil Jones, July 5, 2005:
“The scientific community would come down on me in no uncertain terms if I said the world had cooled from 1998. Okay it has but it is only seven years of data and it isn’t statistically significant.”
From: Kevin Trenberth <firstname.lastname@example.org>
To: Michael Mann <email@example.com>
Subject: Re: BBC U-turn on climate
Date: Mon, 12 Oct 2009 08:57:xxx xxxx xxxx
Well I have my own article on where the heck is global warming? We are asking that here in Boulder where we have broken records the past two days for the coldest days on record.
The fact is that we can’t account for the lack of warming at the moment and it is a
travesty that we can’t.
From: Phil Jones <firstname.lastname@example.org>
To: Tim Johns <email@example.com>, “Folland, Chris” <firstname.lastname@example.org>
Subject: Re: FW: Temperatures in 2009
Date: Mon Jan 5 16:18:xxx xxxx xxxx
I hope you’re not right about the lack of warming lasting
till about 2020. I’d rather hoped to see the earlier Met Office
press release with Doug’s paper that said something like –
half the years to 2014 would exceed the warmest year currently on record, 1998!
Still a way to go before 2014…..it would be nice to wear their(sceptics) smug grins away.
The Met Office has downgraded its forecast for global warming to suggest that by 2017 temperatures will have remained about the same for two decades.
However the BBC’s Roger Harrabin is out to limit the damage to the Cause that he so assiduously promotes.
With the rapid and unceremonious exit of Richard Black from the portals of the BBC we lost one of the finest examples of a Blogger masquerading as a journalist. However, his carbon footprint has been more than filled by the lamentable Roger Harrabin whose journalism, like Black’s, is shelved in favour of pro man made global warming propaganda.
Here he shows himself to be no better than a ‘mere blogger’ in a piece that is as slippery as it is weasily in trying to overturn the damage done by the Met. Office admission that there has been no warming since 1998 and that this may continue until 2017…totalling at least two decades.
I call Harrabin a ‘Blogger’ for two reasons…firstly that his articles are more propaganda than news and secondly ‘Blogger’ seems to be the agreed term, within the BBC at least, to use now to describe any climate Sceptic….so only fair I return the compliment.
The use of ‘Blogger’ is clearly intended to portray any sceptic as unscientific, unqualified and possibly some sort of lunatic conspiracy theorist…not to be taken seriously. It is clear that this is a term that has official BBC ‘approval’ and is to be used rather than sceptic, denier or contrarian…it will be interesting to see if it crops up in other ‘warmist’s’ writing…such as Dr Joe Smith, as well as amongst BBC environmental journalists.
Harrabin makes excuses left right and centre for the Met Office…..telling us that any impression we may have got that global warming may stand still for two decades is wrong:
‘The story was projected into headlines suggesting that the Met Office admitted global warming wouldn’t be as bad as previously thought. The Met Office didn’t say that, but often complex messages get distorted when journalists, or indeed scientists, try to condense them into a handful of words. The BBC faced criticism over its reporting of the issue.
The damage to Met Office credibility, though, was exacerbated by a couple of blunders in its own communication.’
He assures us that it is all the fault of bad communication skills…on the part of the BBC, and by the Met Office itself.
He tells us that there was no conspiracy to hide the data…..they have a ‘plausible explanation’ and that a badly worded caption led to the wrong conclusions.
Apparently not only does Harabin accept such explanations..he should do as he invented them….but he assures us so do the legendary pack of feral Bloggers…..
‘It was badly-worded and led bloggers to conclude that the Met Office were trying to cover up the disparity between forecasts. (They seem to have accepted later that this is not the case).’
He tries to damn climate sceptics further…..claiming it is not the science but politics that motivates the ‘Blogger’ sceptics:
‘It also drew into the climate debate some libertarian bloggers who fear the impact of climate policies on individual freedoms and who temperamentally distrust authorities.’
‘Temperamentally’…..nicely chosen word that…has all sorts of connotations.
He makes a case for the poor, put upon Met Office researchers who only want to be left alone to do their science:
“Ideally, we would like to just publish our science. But it is clear now that we have to make sure that we time releases carefully. I hate the idea of that – but it looks like it will have to happen. We’ll also have to make sure they are accompanied with explanatory notes.”
Ultimately of course, as always, it is the fault of the Public….who just aren’t educated enough to grasp the reality and complexities of science….
‘Ensuring that the public understand the difference in levels of certainty of these different sorts of science has long been a challenge.
When talking to the media, for instance, some prominent scientists used to use the shorthand phrase: “With climate change the planet will warm by X degrees.” What they meant was “according to our best projections the world will warm X degrees”. There is a difference.’
Hang on….’according to our best projections’……there is a difference?
All the difference in the world…by saying that, Harrabin admits then that the BBC’s stance on the climate science being settled is wrong….as it is merely based on ‘best projections’ not ‘will warm’….so there must be room for people who wish to challenge the ‘settled science’….the BBC must start allowing ‘Sceptics’ a voice again on the airwaves, not just the voice of their own highly motivated pro AGW journalist.
Harrabin hasn’t finished though…as usual rounding it all up with a bit of scaremongering to whip us all into line and make us think ‘something must be done’ or we’ll all fry and die……remember last year was the ‘weirdest year of weather’ and ‘extremes’ are the result of global warming (er that has stood still for 15 or so years)……..
‘With global temperatures [last year] ranking “only” ninth in the recordwe suffered dreadful extremes.
We can’t be sure yet which, if any, were made worse by manmade climate change, although a study from researchers in Germany suggests that heatwaves are five times more likely due to current levels of heating.
But let’s not forget that the extremes were produced on a planet that has warmed by “only” 0.7C in a century. Even the arch climate sceptic Richard Lindzen agrees it will warm by one degree or so, but maintains we can be fairly relaxed about that. Based on current patterns others may disagree.
And what if the world warms at least 2C, which most scientists think likely – or 4C which the World Bank thinks probable on current trends.
If we get more and more years like 2012 we face serious challenges.’